Business: The shine of gold has shocked the whole world. The rate at which gold has increased in 2025 has never increased before. According to the World Gold Council, gold has given returns of up to 57 percent till September this year. Experts say that despite high prices, the demand for gold as a safe investment remains strong as economic risks are increasing in the global market. According to experts related to gold, the more the interest rate in America decreases, the more gold will increase. The current situation is indicating further rise in gold.
On October 8, gold was sold for the first time in the international market at $ 4,059 per ounce (Comex). On October 9, gold reached a record high of Rs 1,23,000 per 10 grams on the Multi Commodity Exchange in India.
Why is gold rising?
- War and geopolitical tensions
- dollar weakness
- Uncertainty due to Trump tariffs
- Federal Reserve rate cut
- shutdown in usa
Inflation fears, weak employment figures
Jigar Pandit, Senior Vice President and Head (Commodity and Currency Business), Mirae Asset Sharekhan, says, to reduce their dependence on the dollar, central banks around the world are continuously increasing the share of gold in their foreign exchange reserves from 2022. This is also giving strength to the rise of gold. By August 2025, central banks around the world have purchased 138 tonnes of gold.
Should one buy gold amid this boom or not?
The answer is- Yes, but after thinking. If you are a short-term trader, exercise some caution, says Ankit Kapoor, co-founder and research head, Commodity Samachar Securities. Because after 50 consecutive days of bullishness, a limited profit booking may come. If you are a long-term investor i.e. with a view of next 6 months to 3 years, then it is time to increase gold participation in the portfolio.
According to Dr. Renisha Chainani, Research Head, Augmont Gold, gold can be bought now for the long term. 5-10% correction is expected in gold prices due to profit booking at record level. Every fall will be a good opportunity to invest in gold.
Investing in gold: physical or digital?
Digital options are more practical and secure. By investing in digital gold, gold ETF, there are no problems like storage, theft and making charges. There is a lock-in period, making it suitable for long term investments.
Is there still more upside left for gold?
Experts and major global banks are bullish on the rise in gold. Goldman Sachs has estimated that gold will reach $4,525 an ounce by the end of 2025.
Gold will reach new high in 2026
Goldman estimates that gold will reach Rs 4,900 per ounce in the year 2026. At the same time, Deutsche Bank has expressed expectation of $4300. UBS has also estimated $4200 an ounce.
mountain of gold near central banks
Rank Country Gold Reserves
1 US 8,133.5 tons
2 Germany 3,350.3 tons
3 Italy 2,451.8 tonnes
4 France 2,437.0 tonnes
5 China 2,300 tons
6 Switzerland 1,039.9 tonnes
7 India 879.98 tonnes
8 Japan 846 tons
9 Netherlands 612.45 tonnes
10 Poland 515 tons
Source: WGC Q3 2025 Report
Where will you sleep next Diwali?
Will the rise in gold continue further? To know this, Amar Ujala The Bonus conducted a survey among the leading gold experts of the country. Here are the results of the survey-
Rs 1,30,000: Priyank Upadhyay, VP (Research), SSJ Finance
1,32,000 : Tarun Satsangi, Associate Director – Research, R Money
1,35,000: Nitin Kedia Founder, Kedia Fincorp
Rs 1,40,000: Anuj Gupta Director, Wealth Research
1,42,000: Tejas Anil Shigrekar Chief Technical Research Analyst, Commodity & Currency, Angel One, Manoj Kumar Jain Director – Head Commodity & Currency Research, Prithvi Finmart
1,46,000: Ankit Kapoor Co-Founder and Head Research, Commodity, News Securities
1,50,000: Vandana Bharti Research Head, Commodity, SMC Global Securities, Dr. Renisha Chainani Head Research, Augmont Gold, Sugandha Sachdeva Founder, SS WealthStreet
Rs 1,80,000: Amit Khare AVP (Commodity Research), GCL Broking
Golden Rule: How much gold should you keep in your portfolio?
According to Jigar Pandit and Dr. Renisha Chainani, gold should be up to 20% in the portfolio.
Traditional: Less than 5% gold, you are missing out on the benefits of diversification.
Aggressive: More than 20% gold, unnecessary risk at record price.
Medium: 10-20%, which is where most experts say you should be.
Gold remains a strong and stable asset for long-term investment. But do not invest blindly, invest wisely and strategically.
